A primary will be held on May 8 to choose the Democratic opponent to Walker and the general election will be on June 5. Q: What does this mean for the rest of the nation? Wisconsin is considered one of about a dozen battleground states that will decide the U.
The debate over Republican proposals to limit the powers of public sector unions was watched and funded nationally by groups on both sides of the issue.
Wisconsin voted for President Barack Obama in but in it swung toward Republicans, electing Walker and Republican legislative majorities, and replacing incumbent Democratic U. The outcome of the recall could indicate which way Wisconsin will swing in the November election.
Both sides in the fight are watching Wisconsin because a victory for Walker could encourage other states to follow in limiting unions. So-called right to work laws allow union members to opt out of paying union dues, weakening organized labor.
Wisconsin has been politically polarized over the last year and almost all voters have decided how they feel about Walker and his agenda. So there are few undecided voters and political analysts said that, barring a major gaffe or development, the campaign over the next few weeks is unlikely to change the numbers much.
This means the outcome of the recall election could come down to which side can turn out its vote. Democrats and their allies among unions have been more vocal, organizing massive demonstrations, and are most influential in the capital Madison and the largest city of Milwaukee. Democrats are counting on unions to mobilize their voters. Walker is strongest in rural areas and the suburbs of Milwaukee. Walker may seem an unlikely role model for the liberal Californian, but he has notched one big accomplishment that Newsom now covets.
The Republican is the only governor in American history to successfully beat back a recall. He did so in by pivoting from playing defense on his record, namely a highly polarizing measure to clamp down on organized labor, to going on offense against those trying to remove him.
Newsom, a close labor ally, would almost certainly not endorse the sentiment, but his campaign has adopted an identical strategy. In his case, the foils are Republicans, whom Newsom never fails to connect to the recall.
In , the Wisconsin governor emerged from his recall attempt with new strength that powered his reelection campaign two years later and, briefly, a buzzy presidential bid.
But although Walker may offer a road map for a Newsom victory, a close look at the Wisconsin race also underscores the challenges, both procedural and political, facing the California governor that may complicate his dreams of resurgence.
The California recall election: What happens between now and Sept. Ten years ago, it was Walker whose political future appeared shaky. Just one month after the Republican took office as governor, he pushed through a measure to dramatically curtail collective bargaining rights and hobble the power of labor unions. In Wisconsin, a state with a deep tradition of organized labor, the measure was immediately a flashpoint.
But he had a lucky break. By the time Walker would actually face the voters in , the delay had tempered the outrage around the bill, known as Act In the meantime, Walker sold himself as a governor who got things done, even if they were unpopular, a pitch that even Democrats conceded worked with swing voters. The campaign also found an effective boogeyman in labor leaders. The attack diverted attention from more politically sympathetic rank-and-file workers, such as teachers who had been highly visible in the protests.
Wisconsin Democrats saw the tactic as class warfare. His closing theme paints Republicans, particularly front-runner Larry Elder, the radio host, as resistant to vaccines and mask mandates. The clear hope is voters take out their frustration over the protracted pandemic on the recall proponents.
Protect California by voting no on the Republican recall. How Gavin Newsom went from landslide victory to fighting for his political survival. Before his run for president, Walker's election successes in a fiercely polarized state were in large part due to his popularity among voters who identified as independents.
But polling during the race showed that support had fallen apart for Walker. An early sign of trouble for Walker emerged in April when liberal-leaning judge Rebecca Dallet decisively defeated a conservative for a year term on the state Supreme Court. Tommy Thompson. Thompson said throughout he heard "disquieting things — that the base was unsettled and people in the suburbs were voting against Trump and possibly Walker.
Walker himself knew what Dallet's win meant for how difficult his path to re-election would be, using that April election as evidence in warning Republicans of a potential blue wave that could take him out. Nearly 2. Early voting — which was greatly expanded after a federal judge lifted limits on the practice in — also contributed to Evers' win.
Nearly , people voted early, well above the , who voted early in Voting in Madison and Milwaukee was supported by a 28 percent increase in turnout from the election on the University of Wisconsin-Madison campus and a 43 percent increase on UW-Milwaukee's campus. Brandon Scholz, a longtime Republican strategist, said Evers benefited from an environment that would have given an advantage to any Democrat. Walker was taken out in the same environment that delivered him his first election as governor.
In , Walker and Republicans were swept into office during a year of fierce backlash against Democratic President Barack Obama. During the campaign, Democrats portrayed Walker as being beholden to his donors and more interested in his own political future than the citizens of the state. Scott Walker concedes to Democrat Tony Evers.
Tony Evers is an embodiment of that," Zepecki said. Evers was a teacher, principal, local school superintendent and state education official before he became state schools superintendent. A cancer survivor, Evers was able to tell a personal story when talking about his support for covering people with pre-existing conditions.
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